Growth Options in General Equilibrium: Some Asset Pricing Implications∗
نویسندگان
چکیده
We develop a general equilibrium model of a production economy which has a risky production technology as well as a growth option to expand the scale of the productive sector of the economy. We show that when confronted with growth options, the representative consumer may sharply alter consumption rates to improve the likelihood of investment. This reduction in consumption is accompanied by an erosion of the option value of waiting to invest, leading to investment near the zero NPV threshold. It also has important consequences for the evolution of risk aversion, asset prices and equilibrium interest rates which we characterize in this paper. One interesting prediction of the model is that we get time varying risk aversion and equity returns by virtue of the presence of growth option. We also find that the moneyness of the growth option is the key factor which determines the extent to which the book to market ratios will influence the conditional moments of equity returns.
منابع مشابه
Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications
Parameter learning strongly ampli es the impact of macro shocks on marginal utility when the representative agent has a preference for early resolution of uncertainty. This occurs as rational belief updating generates subjective long-run consumption risks. We consider general equilibrium models with unknown parameters governing either long-run economic growth, rare events, or model selection. O...
متن کاملJump-Diffusion Models for Asset Pricing in Financial Engineering
In this survey we shall focus on the following issues related to jump-diffusion models for asset pricing in financial engineering. (1) The controversy over tailweight of distributions. (2) Identifying a risk-neutral pricing measure by using the rational expectations equilibrium. (3) Using Laplace transforms to pricing options, including European call/put options, path-dependent options, such as...
متن کاملA Model of Cross-Section of Equity Returns and Firm Dynamics
We put forward a general equilibrium model that links the cross-section variation of expected returns to rmslife cycle dynamics. In the model all assets have the same exposure to short-run consumption risks, but di¤er in their exposure to long-run consumption risks (Bansal and Yaron (2004)). An econometrician who uses conditional CAPM regression to predict asset returns will obtain higher for...
متن کاملGeneral equilibrium pricing of options with habit formation and event risks
This paper proposes a general equilibrium model that explains the pricing of the S&P 500 index options. The central ingredients are a peso component in the consumption growth rate and the time-varying risk aversion induced by habit formation which amplifies consumption shocks. The amplifying effect generates the excess volatility and a large jump-risk premium which combine to produce a pronounc...
متن کاملStochastic Dominance, Pareto Optimality, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing
In this paper, we give a uni ed approach to equilibrium asset pricing theories. We de ne a factor subspace and develop a general equilibrium model with an in nite dimensional contingent claim space which will be applied to asset pricing models. We show that there exists a minimal factor subspace F in the sense that no proper subspace of F can serve a factor subspace. We discuss how the minimal ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2005